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New Car price prediction model using AI before launch: Forward selection Regression

Mohd. Vaseem1 , Amandeep Singh Grover2 , Akhtarul Islam Amjad3

Section:Research Paper, Product Type: Journal Paper
Volume-11 , Issue-01 , Page no. 49-55, Nov-2023

Online published on Nov 30, 2023

Copyright © Mohd. Vaseem, Amandeep Singh Grover, Akhtarul Islam Amjad . This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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IEEE Style Citation: Mohd. Vaseem, Amandeep Singh Grover, Akhtarul Islam Amjad, “New Car price prediction model using AI before launch: Forward selection Regression,” International Journal of Computer Sciences and Engineering, Vol.11, Issue.01, pp.49-55, 2023.

MLA Style Citation: Mohd. Vaseem, Amandeep Singh Grover, Akhtarul Islam Amjad "New Car price prediction model using AI before launch: Forward selection Regression." International Journal of Computer Sciences and Engineering 11.01 (2023): 49-55.

APA Style Citation: Mohd. Vaseem, Amandeep Singh Grover, Akhtarul Islam Amjad, (2023). New Car price prediction model using AI before launch: Forward selection Regression. International Journal of Computer Sciences and Engineering, 11(01), 49-55.

BibTex Style Citation:
@article{Vaseem_2023,
author = {Mohd. Vaseem, Amandeep Singh Grover, Akhtarul Islam Amjad},
title = {New Car price prediction model using AI before launch: Forward selection Regression},
journal = {International Journal of Computer Sciences and Engineering},
issue_date = {11 2023},
volume = {11},
Issue = {01},
month = {11},
year = {2023},
issn = {2347-2693},
pages = {49-55},
url = {https://www.ijcseonline.org/full_spl_paper_view.php?paper_id=1411},
publisher = {IJCSE, Indore, INDIA},
}

RIS Style Citation:
TY - JOUR
UR - https://www.ijcseonline.org/full_spl_paper_view.php?paper_id=1411
TI - New Car price prediction model using AI before launch: Forward selection Regression
T2 - International Journal of Computer Sciences and Engineering
AU - Mohd. Vaseem, Amandeep Singh Grover, Akhtarul Islam Amjad
PY - 2023
DA - 2023/11/30
PB - IJCSE, Indore, INDIA
SP - 49-55
IS - 01
VL - 11
SN - 2347-2693
ER -

           

Abstract

It is very important to predict car price before launching it in the market. In the research, regression models are developed to predict the price of the car. Three models have been developed in the research paper: Backward Elimination, Backward Elimination with VIF, and forward selection. The data is taken from Kaggle. The most important factors are decided by correlating other variables with the car price. A linear regression model is finally developed, with engine size as the most influencing factor, the type of driver as the second influencing factor, and the type of the car body as the third influencing factor. Linear regression model predicts the car price with good model accuracy. The exploratory data analysis is done to know about the data set. The variables having variance influence factor r more than ten are omitted to avoid the problem of multicollinearity. The first model developed is forward selection, in which engine size is used to build the first regression model having a single variable. The value of adjusted R2 is 0.764, and the aim is to increase the value of this factor, and all the coefficients in this model are statistically significant. The second variable included is the type of carburetor (2bbl) that is incorporated in the model, and a regression model is developed. The adjusted R2 is 0.778 and all the coefficients are statistically significant. The third regression model is developed by incorporating types of the drive (Reverse drive), and the value of adjusted R2 is 0.802, and all the coefficients are statistically significant. Further, it was tried by the hit and trial method incorporated the other variables in the model to increase the model accuracy and adjusted R2, but there was no benefit. The types of variables are selected based on correlation and VIF. The second approach adopted to build the regression model is backward elimination, in which all the variables are included and eliminated one by one based on VIF and statistical significance. The adjusted R2 is 0.919, but some variables are statistically insignificant as the p-value is more than 0.05 with a 95% confidence interval. After eliminating all the variables having VIF of more than ten and statistically significant, the final regression model has adjusted R2 is 0.863. The third approach adopted is backward elimination, where only statistically significant factors are considered. The final regression model with backward elimination has adjusted R2 is 0.863. Finally, we recommend the forward selection method of regression to predict the price of the car as it has less omitted variables bias.

Key-Words / Index Term

Linear regression, correlation, forward selection, backward elimination, data analysis, Backward elimination

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